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View Full Version : Obama Approval Rating Exceeds 50% in States Containing 445 Electoral Votes

IndyRepub
06-13-2009, 07:43 PM
Where would Barack Obama be re-elected if an election were held today?

We can't know for sure, and it would depend on many contingencies, such as the identity of his Republican opponent. One quick-and-dirty way to assess this question, however, is to look at those states where Obama's approval rating is 50 percent or higher. Based on a compilation of public polls since February 15th, that appears to be the case in the following states:...

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/06/obama-approval-rating-exceeds-50-in.html

(This is by Nate Silver who got the '08 electoral vote exactly right.)
Susan43
06-13-2009, 07:58 PM
Where would Barack Obama be re-elected if an election were held today?

We can't know for sure, and it would depend on many contingencies, such as the identity of his Republican opponent. One quick-and-dirty way to assess this question, however, is to look at those states where Obama's approval rating is 50 percent or higher. Based on a compilation of public polls since February 15th, that appears to be the case in the following states:...

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/06/obama-approval-rating-exceeds-50-in.html

(This is by Nate Silver who got the '08 electoral vote exactly right.)

Thanks Indy. I just love reading Nate Silver. His love of numbers comes through in every post like this.

:thumbsup:
IndyRepub
06-13-2009, 08:01 PM
Thanks Indy. I just love reading Nate Silver. His love of numbers comes through in every post like this.

:thumbsup:

You're welcome, Susan! :seeya: He's more credible than anyone else I know (read) on the web. Ain't it something?
Susan43
06-13-2009, 08:23 PM
You're welcome, Susan! :seeya: He's more credible than anyone else I know (read) on the web. Ain't it something?

Have you seen him on TV? He's just a kid. I'll bet it was tough being the mom of a math genius like he obviously is. LOL.

"Silver was an early math wizard. According to the New York Times, "By kindergarten, he could multiply two-digit numbers in his head. By 11, he was conducting multivariate analysis to figure out if the size of a baseball stadium affects attendance (it doesn’t). By age 13, he was using statistics to manage a fantasy baseball team. When his parents refused to buy him computer games, he taught himself the Basic programming language and created his own."[6]"

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

(and yes, 31 is a kid to me LOL) He's an amazing guy.
IndyRepub
06-13-2009, 08:53 PM
Have you seen him on TV? He's just a kid. I'll bet it was tough being the mom of a math genius like he obviously is. LOL.

"Silver was an early math wizard. According to the New York Times, "By kindergarten, he could multiply two-digit numbers in his head. By 11, he was conducting multivariate analysis to figure out if the size of a baseball stadium affects attendance (it doesn’t). By age 13, he was using statistics to manage a fantasy baseball team. When his parents refused to buy him computer games, he taught himself the Basic programming language and created his own."[6]"

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

(and yes, 31 is a kid to me LOL) He's an amazing guy.

Yeah, I've seen him. He looks very serious. I'm not sure I've ever seen him smile. But he's also a genius!

Thanks for the link. :smile:
snookums1
06-13-2009, 10:01 PM
If you check out Gallup today you will see that Obama is at 63%, up 2 from yesterday.
IndyRepub
06-13-2009, 10:43 PM
If you check out Gallup today you will see that Obama is at 63%, up 2 from yesterday.

That's right. And his disapproval is down 2 from yesterday to 29%!
daniel green
06-14-2009, 01:21 AM
Where would Barack Obama be re-elected if an election were held today?

We can't know for sure, and it would depend on many contingencies, such as the identity of his Republican opponent. One quick-and-dirty way to assess this question, however, is to look at those states where Obama's approval rating is 50 percent or higher. Based on a compilation of public polls since February 15th, that appears to be the case in the following states:...

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/06/obama-approval-rating-exceeds-50-in.html

(This is by Nate Silver who got the '08 electoral vote exactly right.)


How interesting, Indy!!!!!!!!!!

Look at all that blue!!!!!!!! :thumbsup: